Unlimited Blog
Perspectives on Portfolio Randomness and Asset Allocation
Active allocation strategies struggle to outperform a randomly selected portfolio of funds on a long-term basis. The data indicates that in pursuit of outperformance allocators may even be making riskier decisions.
Top Posts
Far From Perfect: Inverted Yield Curves Don’t Reliably Predict Recessions or the Direction of the Markets
On October 25, 2022 the yield curve flipped to inverted and has remained so for the nearly 500 days since…
The Outlook 2024: Stronger for Longer
Despite prognostications and market pricing of a near certain recession at the start of 2023, the US economy not only avoided a downturn, it thrived…
Not All-in on US Mega Cap Stocks? That’s Prudent, But Currently Underperforming
US stocks outperformance of pretty much everything returned again in 2023…
Is The U.S. Economy in a Recession?
Published by Bruce McNevin on Nov 27, 2023 With conflicting macroeconomic indicators and diverging expert opinions, we reviewed the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) recession indicators
Where To Turn When Stocks and Bonds Move Together
Historically, 60/40 investors have relied on bonds to protect their equity positions and preserve capital through market down-turns…
Don’t Overweight Cash Unless You’re a Market-Timing Genius
Effectively timing the market requires extreme skill. Fortunately, diversification allows…
Who Is Better: Hedge Fund Allocators or Dart-Throwing Monkeys?
Every hedge fund allocator dreams of finding the portfolio of managers that reliably outperforms…
What’s Under the Hood? What Matters for ETF Liquidity
Understanding the liquidity of an individual stock, bond, or futures contract is…
Harnessing the Wisdom of the Crowd to Mitigate Down-side Risk
Over the past thirty years, hedge funds have proven an uncanny ability to avoid significant down-side risk in equities.