Is The U.S. Economy in a Recession?
Published by Bruce McNevin on Nov 27, 2023 With conflicting macroeconomic indicators and diverging expert opinions, we reviewed the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) recession indicators to determine if the economy is in a recession. They suggest that the answer is no, not yet. Figure 1 contains our ‘recession barometer’ which compares the most recent monthly […]
Where To Turn When Stocks and Bonds Move Together
Historically, 60/40 investors have relied on bonds to protect their equity positions and preserve capital through market down-turns…
Don’t Overweight Cash Unless You’re a Market-Timing Genius
Effectively timing the market requires extreme skill. Fortunately, diversification allows…
Who Is Better: Hedge Fund Allocators or Dart-Throwing Monkeys?
Every hedge fund allocator dreams of finding the portfolio of managers that reliably outperforms…
What’s Under the Hood? What Matters for ETF Liquidity
Understanding the liquidity of an individual stock, bond, or futures contract is…
Harnessing the Wisdom of the Crowd to Mitigate Down-side Risk
Over the past thirty years, hedge funds have proven an uncanny ability to avoid significant down-side risk in equities.
The Fees Are Too Damned High for Most Liquid Alts
Liquid alternatives products often offer the allure of returns that could benefit most…
Imperfect Replication Beats Single Manager Selection 9/10 Times
One of the commonly raised concerns about Hedge Fund replication strategies is the tracking…
Stocks Need Easy Money to Consistently Outperform Hedge Funds
Stock indexes have outperformed hedge funds by quite a bit this year. As of late May, the NASDAQ is…
A Simple Investment Gameplan
The last year has all of us wrestling with whether our investment gameplan will work in a wide…